Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.201140 4.537436 4.899090 5.318863 5.795146 6.321684 6.951882
2025-03-23 3.710146 4.188112 4.738505 5.427443 6.278801 7.313158 8.692132
2025-03-30 3.299634 3.826092 4.458587 5.289839 6.378026 7.791825 9.836576
2025-04-06 2.998984 3.546132 4.224378 5.149330 6.416097 8.154156 10.848681
2025-04-13 2.763013 3.317623 4.022389 5.012726 6.420881 8.445378 11.784827
2025-04-20 2.601872 3.167803 3.903424 4.966301 6.532458 8.889406 13.030265
2025-04-27 2.520541 3.113446 3.902675 5.077469 6.877389 9.729257 15.124991
2025-05-04 2.455915 3.074610 3.916723 5.206365 7.258979 10.684437 17.692824
2025-05-11 2.357685 2.981895 3.846135 5.199243 7.419027 11.283869 19.737492
2025-05-18 2.277693 2.908835 3.797073 5.217934 7.619670 11.985070 22.232682
2025-05-25 2.155753 2.769293 3.641367 5.054864 7.489066 12.036085 23.218481
2025-06-01 2.054765 2.654760 3.515938 4.930110 7.411355 12.177134 24.483548
2025-06-08 1.972815 2.569285 3.437130 4.888698 7.504352 12.736388 27.281323
2025-06-15 1.929870 2.539598 3.442696 4.990578 7.882233 14.002754 32.968774
2025-06-22 1.839350 2.434203 3.323910 4.869604 7.816429 14.260973 35.597056
2025-06-29 1.755653 2.334966 3.208892 4.745464 7.728687 14.450346 38.145174
2025-07-06 1.679191 2.243193 3.100600 4.624551 7.632889 14.601725 40.701258
2025-07-13 1.625097 2.183101 3.039704 4.583413 7.696846 15.176940 45.619032
2025-07-20 1.602968 2.170927 3.055305 4.681883 8.069611 16.678616 56.845598
2025-07-27 1.584879 2.163905 3.078498 4.795893 8.494046 18.475644 73.147485
2025-08-03 1.545678 2.121752 3.040384 4.789598 8.643185 19.495855 86.729054
2025-08-10 1.512915 2.088393 3.015220 4.806117 8.848658 20.775442 106.284048
2025-08-17 1.454466 2.011708 2.912355 4.661870 8.646049 20.604785 111.416031